Friday, May 26, 2023

Conflict Resolution with Amending the Ethiopian Constitution (From Our Contributor)

 Conflict Resolution with Amending the Ethiopian Constitution

Ethiopia, a diverse nation with a rich history and cultural heritage, has faced significant challenges in recent years. One of the key sources of contention has been the Ethiopian Constitution, which has been criticized for its perceived inadequacies in addressing the concerns of various ethnic groups and promoting inclusive governance. However, the process of amending the constitution presents a unique opportunity for conflict resolution and the forging of a more united and harmonious Ethiopia.

Understanding the Conflict: Ethiopia is home to numerous ethnic groups, each with its own distinct language, culture, and history. The current constitution, adopted in 1995, sought to address historical grievances and promote ethnic federalism as a means of power-sharing. However, over time, this system has been accused of exacerbating ethnic tensions and fostering divisions among communities. Grievances stemming from political representation, resource allocation, and questions of self-determination have fueled conflicts and impeded Ethiopia's progress.

Amending the Constitution: Amending the Ethiopian Constitution requires a comprehensive and inclusive process that engages all stakeholders, including political parties, civil society organizations, and the general public. It should be based on the principles of transparency, accountability, and democratic participation to ensure that the interests of all Ethiopians are represented. Here are some key steps that can be taken:

  1. National Dialogue: Initiate a national dialogue platform where all stakeholders can voice their concerns, grievances, and aspirations. This platform should be open, inclusive, and guided by impartial mediators to facilitate constructive discussions.

  2. Constitutional Reform Commission: Establish an independent commission tasked with reviewing the current constitution and proposing amendments. This commission should be composed of experts in constitutional law, human rights, and conflict resolution. Its recommendations should be based on extensive research, public input, and best practices from other countries.

  3. Public Consultations: Conduct public consultations at regional, local, and community levels to gather input on the constitutional amendments. These consultations should include town hall meetings, public hearings, and online platforms to ensure broad participation. Efforts should be made to reach marginalized groups and remote areas to ensure their voices are heard.

  4. Consensus Building: Facilitate dialogue sessions and negotiations among political parties, civil society groups, and representatives of different ethnic communities. The aim should be to build consensus on key constitutional provisions and address contentious issues. Mediation and reconciliation mechanisms can be employed to bridge differences and foster understanding.

  5. Inclusive Drafting Process: Ensure that the drafting of the amended constitution is inclusive and representative. Form a diverse drafting committee that includes experts from various fields, as well as representatives from different ethnic groups, women, youth, and marginalized communities. This will help ensure that the new constitution reflects the aspirations of all Ethiopians and promotes inclusivity.

Benefits of Constitutional Amendments: Amending the Ethiopian Constitution offers several benefits in terms of conflict resolution and nation-building:

  1. Addressing Grievances: The amendment process provides an opportunity to address historical and current grievances by revisiting the constitutional provisions that have been a source of contention. By actively engaging with the concerns of various groups, the constitution can be modified to better reflect the aspirations and needs of all Ethiopians.

  2. Inclusive Governance: A revised constitution can introduce mechanisms for more inclusive governance, power-sharing, and equitable resource allocation. By addressing the perceived imbalances in the current system, the amended constitution can help reduce tensions and promote a sense of ownership and belonging among diverse communities.

  3. Strengthening Human Rights: A revised constitution can incorporate stronger protections for human rights and minority rights, promoting a culture of inclusivity and respect for all citizens. This can help foster a more tolerant and inclusive society, laying the foundation for sustainable peace and development.

  4. Building Trust and Unity: Through an inclusive and transparent

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

ICE Case Study: BLUE NILE

ICE Case Studies
Case Number:
Case Identifier: BLUE NILE
Case Name: Nile River Dispute

Abstract


The Nile is the world's longest river, and an estimated 123 million people depend on the Nile waters for survival. The river originates from two distinct geographical zones, the basins of the White and Blue Niles. The source of the White Nile is in the Great or Equatorial Lakes Region, and is also fed by the Bahr-el-Jebel water system to the north and east of the Nile-Congo Rivers divide.(6) Its catchment area includes the riparian states of Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, Uganda, Congo/Zaire, Kenya and Sudan. The Blue Nile originates in the highlands of Ethiopia and Eretria, as do the other major tributaries of the Nile, the Atbara and the Sobat. About 85% of the Nile's waters originate in Ethiopia and Eretria, while the majority of the river's water is used in the Sudan and Egypt.
Irrigated agriculture is the largest draw on the waters of the Nile, particularly in Egypt and the Sudan. Pressure on Nile resouces is likely to increase dramatically in the coming years as a result of high population growth rates in all riparian states, and increasing development-related water needs in Ethiopia.
In 1929, the Nile Waters Agreement was concluded through an exchange of notes between the British High Commission in Cairo and the Egyptian government. The agreement heavily favored Egypt's "historic rights" allocating for Egyptian use 48 bcm per year, only 4 bcm for the Sudan, and leaving 32 bcm per year unallocated. The period 1954-1958 was characterized by political conflicts between Egypt and the Sudan over sharing of the Nile waters. As noted by Ashok Swain, Sudan achieved independence in 1956, and its first Prime Minister "immediately reiterated that the 1929 agreement should be revised, just when Gamal Abdel Nasser of Egypt was contemplating the creation of a massive new dam at Aswan." Tensions increased between Egypt and the Sudan in 1956-1958, as the Sudan voiced further objections to the Aswan High Dam and continued demanding a renegotiation of the 1929 agreement. Egypt subsequently withdrew its support for the Sudanese project to build a reservoir at Roseires on the Blue Nile, and Sudan unilaterally declared its non-adherence to the 1929 agreement. In a show of force, Egypt moved units of its army to the border with Sudan.
In November 1958, there was a military takeover in Sudan and the establishment of a regime more open to negotiation with the Egyptian government. Within a year, the two countries re-negotiated the 1929 agreement and developed the 1959 Agreement between the Republic of the Sudan and the United Arab Republic. The new agreement set Egypt's share of Nile waters at 55.5 bcm per year and allocated to the Sudan's an allotment of 18.5 bcm per year. Other riparians were not included in this agreement. Favorable relations between the two continued until the ouster of Sudanese President Nimeiri, and relations further deteriorated in 1989 as the Islamic fundamentalist regime unilaterally abolished the cooperation agreements and began supporting anti-Egyptian forces in its territory. In recent years, disputes between Egypt and the Sudan have been more overtly political and less about water, in part because the Sudan's civil strife has halted significant development in this country.
Present and potential conflict over water in the basin stems from the increased food and agricultural needs generated by a rapidly growing population in the riparian states. Egypt is desperately trying to meet its food needs through dramatically expanding the number of acres under irrigation, and has started two new, major irrigation projects. However, Egypt is already at or above its allocation of Nile water under the 1959 Agreement, and some sources claim that it is taking up to 2 bcm more than its share.
Ethiopia is the new unknown in the conflict equation, as the end of the Ethiopian civil war has opened the doors to new development. Rapid population growth and the need to establish food security after the famines of the 1980s have prompted Ethiopia to press ahead with plans to divert Nile waters for irrigation.
Previous efforts to establish cooperation among riparians have been limited by Ethiopia, who usually would only participate as an observer. Although hydrological surveys and basin- management efforts have been partially successful, Ethiopia's refusal to participate has seriously limited their utility, as 85% of the Nile's waters come from the Ethiopian highlands. Moreover, Ethiopia and Egypt exchanged fairly non-cooperative policy papers at a 1996 conference on Nile cooperation, each asserting its rights to use Nile water as it sees fit.
At the current time, tensions in the Nile River Basin are contained by a number of factors, including Egypt's political and military dominance, the civil war in the Sudan and negligible use of water by other upstream riparians. Concurrently, however, other factors are working to increase the potential for conflict over water in the basin: high population growth in both upstream and downstream countries, accompanied by subsequent demand for increases in agricultural irrigation; nascent development in Ethiopia; environmental degradation of established Egyptian irrigated land; and the possibility of an eventual end to the Sudanese war, which would spur development in Sudan. Although each of the above factors holds the potential to increase tension and cause conflict in the basin, many also represent potential areas of cooperation. Prevention of armed conflict in the Nile basin could occur in a great number of realms, from the technical to the political, from domestic solutions to regional solutions. more

Wednesday, May 27, 2009

Scrutinizing the Scorpion Problematique: Arguments in Favor of the Continued Relevance of International Law and a Multidisciplinary Approach to Resol

by FASIL AMDETSION
Abstract
The paucity of international agreements governing the use of the world’s 261 international watercourses justifies experts’ propensity for prognosticating the outbreak of war over water। Conflict over the Nile Waters is more than just a plausible scenario for the ten riparian states that are saddled with burgeoning populations, varying historical narratives, competing geopolitical interests, and most importantly, the lack of an all-encompassing legal agreement. At the heart of the Nile dispute are two colonial era agreements which are controversial by virtue of the purported expansiveness of their reach. Egypt maintains that the agreements (signed by the British ostensibly on behalf of their colonies) justify a lopsided allocation of the Nile’s bounties wherein Egypt and Sudan are entitled to exclusive use of the river’s waters, but use by upper riparian states is predicated upon explicit permission by Cairo. Most papers offering prescriptions for the current impasse focus solely on analysis rooted in a particular discipline. In this article, the author eschews such artificial categorization and urges a dramatic multidisciplinary shift. Specifically, the author advocates moving towards a more equitable allocation premised upon: (1) legal agreements that reject dogmatic adherence to outdated “Harmonian” or “prior appropriation” doctrines in favor of normatively appealing and emerging jurisprudence in the field of equitable allocation; (2) multilateral, profit-based hydraulics agreements that would bring about joint and increased exploitation of the Nile in upper riparian states; and (3) continued and increased international engagement in the face of pronounced geopolitical power asymmetries. More

Monday, April 6, 2009

Egypt and the Hydro-Politics of the Blue Nile River

Daniel Kendie
Henderson State University
As early as the 4th century B.C., Herodotus observed that Egypt was a gift of the Nile. That observation is no less true today than in the distant past, because not only the prosperity of Egypt, but also its very existence depends on the annual flood of the Nile. Of its two sources, the Blue Nile flows from Lake Tana in Ethiopia, while the White Nile flows from Lake Victoria in Uganda. Some 86 percent of the water that Egypt consumes annually originates from the Blue Nile River, while the remainder comes from the White Nile. Since concern with the free flow of the Nile has always been a national security issue for Egypt, as far as the Blue Nile goes it has been held that Egypt must be in a position either to dominate Ethiopia, or to neutralize whatever unfriendly regime might emerge there. As the late President Sadat stated: “Any action that would endanger the waters of the Blue Nile will be faced with a firm reaction on the part of Egypt, even if that action should lead to war.” More

Wednesday, August 13, 2008

"No Man is an Island"

By Girma H. Aweke
August 13, 2008

“No man is an island, entire of itself...any man's death diminishes me, because I am involved in mankind; and therefore never send to know for whom the bell tolls; it tolls for thee." John Donne. If we stop right here, we believe that you will understand what this article is about. John is saying something that we relate to in our own life. From our beginning, we know that we were dependent on our family, childhood friends, and the neighborhood. Now, even though we are adults and professionals who are responsible for our own life and family, the fact remains to be true for ever that we are and we will always be dependent on others for our life to be complete. No matter how successful we are or no matter how much money we have, life can never be possible without others. When we are happy or sad, we depend on others to share our happiness or sadness. If we really understand and believe that we depend on each other in many aspect of our lives, would it be possible to co-create the road map for a better future other than what we have and experience at this time? After all, “life’s most persistent and urgent question is ‘what are you doing for others?’” (Martin Luther King Jr.) Would it be possible to uncover the possibility of a better future by sharing our own dreams that we hold inside of us with regards to our community and us. We tend to agree with Einstein at least theoretically that “only a life lived for others is a life worthwhile.” Could this be the time to explore our deep hearts and invest in our inner desires and drives for all of us?

Ethiopia has lost so many lives through the struggle for freedom, and because of hunger, war, disease and poverty for many years. Why? Blaming anyone for the current outcome is not going to help us in finding the real solutions. One way or the other, we are all responsible for the outcome of the present Ethiopia. Not only that, we are all responsible for what we have and don’t have as a community wherever we are now. Is it possible to change what we are doing or not doing consistently in order to get a different outcome other than what we have been getting so far? Do you feel like such a suffering of our people in Ethiopia and our uncooperative situation here are beyond our control? Are we born to be and have what ever we had so far without a glimpse of hope for better possibilities? Why is that other communities are doing extremely well right where we are while we are just living as if there is noting we can do together to create a better future for us and the coming generation?

The answers to these questions are within us. All it takes is for all of us to reach out to our heart and be willing to share our thoughts and intuitions. “If you want the world to change, be the change you seek” Gandhi. We as a nation or community can’t see the light of better future unless all of us search and become the kind of changes we wish for our people and us. We are given a set amount of time to live in this world. Each of us is given unique qualities to get to the height of our humanity while we are alive. When we are able to uncover our unique qualities, we begin to live, act, relate, and think from our deepest place in our heart. We will be guided from within to be who we are and who we want to become regardless of our circumstances, and difficulties. We are all here to create something meaningful in our lives. We are here to expand opportunities and hopes for all mankind. When we really understand these facts and know our ultimate purpose in life, we find our self in the “jet stream” of life. So, if we choose to start right where we are, the beginning will be to share whatever we hold inside of us. If we can start from this deepest level, we will get into the game of life that is completely different than what has been in the past. If we can share our dreams, there is a greater chance to co-create a common vision that which we can hold dearly in our heart. Yes…….if we can start from here we can connect to build a better future other than what we had so far!!! After all, “we can’t go back in time and create a new beginning.” However, “we can start now and create a new ending.” Our past is written in the history book. Today, we can write a new history. It all depends on our will and optimism to transform what we have and do today into a beautiful future.

Each of us is working on our spiritual, financial, professional, family, health or many others dreams of our own. No matter how many personal dreams we are working on, our individual dreams can never be complete if we are not concerned with lives of others whom we care about. As Martin Luther King said, “a man has not begun to live until he can rise above the narrow confines of his own individual concerns to the broader concerns of all humanity”… Fortunately, it is in our nature to care for others. In our culture and upbringing, we have developed a deepest channel to care and love our parents, brothers, sisters and other family members of our own. Can we extend our care and love to others in a very measurable way so that together we can create a better future?

In this society, we are above and beyond just being the African Americans group because, within us, we carry the pain, hunger, poverty and suffering of our people in Ethiopia. Most of us were born in Ethiopia. Therefore, we can never forget our origin no matter how life is comfortable wherever we live at this time. If this a fact for you, what comes to your mind as you reflect back in time and to the present moment with regard to our country and community here? What do you think we can do together if you know that you have friends who are willing to listen to your heart? If you can imagine the big picture of life, we are living in this moment just to leave memories behind to those we care so much. When the time comes for us to leave this world, there is nothing that we can take with us. What kind of memories would you like to leave behind for all those you deeply care about? By sharing our dreams, we will be ready to answer these and many other life related questions together. The greatest hope of life is that, you will never be alone in any action you take to improve the life of others when and if the source of your action is from the deepest place in your heart. In fact, caring for others is the doorway to experiencing one of the amazing marvelous feelings called LOVE. If you look deeply into the meaning of life, the ultimate destiny of mankind is to find ways to experience and become Love. As you can see, the journey of sharing our dreams with regard to our community may have its own rewards to your own life. If you sincerely believe that we can do or have better than what we have in the past, where other place do you think we can find the solution other than in our heart? So, would you let your heart speak?

Some of us may think that there is no hope to change our situation. However, as Thoreau said, “If one advances confidently in the direction of his dreams, and endeavors to live the life which he has imagined, he will meet with a success unexpected in common hours.” If we can create our direction based on our dreams, we will have a chance to recognize when and if any opportunities come along that promotes our dreams. Without such dreams, we will just be ignorant in front of any opportunities that come in front of us.

In our silent hours, we all go inside of us and wish and hope that we give or have or do something before the end of our life. What is that something? We all think of our community and wish that we do this or have this and that. What is that you wish we can do or have as a community? When and if you look around other communities, don’t you wish that we come together and do like them? Yes, this article is about exploring what ever is inside your heart. What ever is inside your heart is called your dream. What ever is inside your heart may not be just about you. It could also be about our community and country. If we dare to dream, what would that be? If you knew that there is no limitation to achieve it, what would you like to share with us? If you knew that you are no longer alone, what would you share with us so that we can start working with you to bring your dream into a reality? When we bring our dream together, the outcome will be the creation of our collective vision. When there is a collective vision, which we hold dearly, there will be collective goals that will take us to the next level. When there are goals, there will be plans and action steps, which we all share and do. In the process, we will be in a journey of creating an island that is empowering for us and for the generation to come. If we can do this, we will be happy every single day of our lives because we will be engaged in doing what we are called to do in our lives!!!!

We realize that “sharing our dream” can be very difficult because it requires for all of us to soul search and bring what ever we feel inside of us. Talking about our dream requires that we take our time to think and connect within ourselves so that we can hear the voice from within. No matter how difficult it may seem to write and share our dream, it is from this difficult task we can begin to do something different and everlasting compared to what we have done in the past.

We hope that article will initiate a voice within you. If you have not written your dream about our community so far, get a notebook and start writing what ever comes to your mind. No need to think hard or worry or get confused about this. If you just allow yourself, your thoughts about our community will come out of you without any struggle. These thoughts have been with you ever since you were born and they will always be with you as long as you are alive. This time, you are allowing yourself to take them out of you and write them on your notebook. Assume that you are leaving your own life journal to your family or dear friends. With this state of mind, your thought will flow out of you naturally. Keep in mind that, it is never too late to change course, and draft a new beginning that we will treasure as a beautiful accomplishment in the future… Remember, “The life which is unexamined is not worth living.” Let’s examine ourselves to see what our dreams are. This time let your dreams speak.

Writer can be reached at selammegersa@yahoo.com

Tuesday, August 5, 2008

The Hydro politics of Nile, Past, Present and Future

by Getachew Sisay
gsnigatu @ ucdavis.edu
March 4, 2005

1. International Conventions and Ethiopian Water Policy
The diversity and number of river basins (around 245 world wide), large dependency of world population (about 40 % of the total), huge land mass encompassed with in the basin (about 50 %)and multiple and competing uses are the prominent reasons for the complexity of managing trans-boundary water resources (Salman and de Chazourners, 1998). The scarcity of fresh water for multiple societal needs is rapidly escalating and most remaining major exportable sources of fresh water are now in rivers (Elhance, 1999). This leads to the inherent controversies and conflicts in the utilization, distribution and appropriation of water resources shared by two or more sovereign states. The focus of this paper is to discuss about international conventions dealing with the non- navigational uses of Trans-boundary Rivers as Blue Nile a case.
1.1 International Water Conventions and Ethiopian Rights
International Law Association (ILA) is recorded as the nascent effort in the 1966 called Helsinki Rules. It gives much emphasis on the general principle of equitable utilization, which explicitly means that an existing user (Egypt) of the river(Blue Nile) would have to give way to a new user (Ethiopia) although the new user would have to pay compensation (Ohlesson, 1995). These are, however, non-binding recommendations used as an aid to countries involved in dispute over international waterways (Hillawi, 1998; Girma, 1997).
The first attempt in dealing the issue at comprehensive and universal level was devised by International Law Commission (ILC) of the United Nations under the title of the United Nations Convention on the Law of Non-Navigational Uses of International Watercourses[1] (Salman and de Chazourners, 1998). By Resolution 51/229 of 21 May 1997, the General Assembly of the United Nations has adopted and opened for signature. Given the controversial and sensitive nature of the subject, it is not adopted in consensus (Fisseha, 1997). The vote was 103 in favor, 3 against (China, Turkey and Burundi) and 27 abstentions including Ethiopia.
For the sake of analysis, let look into the three crucial elements in the UN Convention for the point of view of this paper. As describe by McCaffrey (1998), these are the most important sets of general rules governing the non-navigational uses of international watercourses. These have subjective and qualitative implication for which verification and judgment is distinctly undependable. Much of the debates and resolutions in the utilization of trans-boundary rivers have revolved around them.
I) Principle of Equitable and Reasonable Utilization

Article 5 of the convention has a title of Equitable and reasonable utilization and participation. McCaffrey (Ibid) called, “This principle is regarded as a cornerstone of law of international watercourses”. Ethiopia has not been utilized its right share from the Blue Nile, barely only 0.6 billion cubic meters for multi purpose compared with 55.5 billion of Egypt and 18.5 billion of Sudan. The participation of Ethiopia in the utilization is meager which has to be empowered in current situations by engaging in intensive exploitation of the resources for eminent equitability. This can be achieved by providing further right to Ethiopia to effectively utilize its resources.

II) No-Harm

Article 7 of the convention has the title of obligation not to cause significant harm. It has two important connotations: the allocation of the watercourses and the protection of the environment. For the former, it is evident that the share of Ethiopia is a fraction of what has been given for evaporation (10 to 16 billion cubic meters) and seepage losses at Lake Nasser. In regard to environmental aspect, protecting and conserving Blue Nile at the highlands of Ethiopia can increase the availability of the river of either of the countries. Constructing a reserve dam at Lake Tana in Ethiopia enables to maintain the hydrological cycle and stable supply of water to all states than any where in the basin (Elhance, 1999; Allan, 1999). Evaporation loss in Ethiopian Highlands is estimated about 4 billion cubic meters per annum compared with 12 billion in Egypt desert. The rampant problem of siltation in the dams and irrigation canals in Egypt has been brought by lack of necessary conservation mechanism in the Ethiopian highlands. Needless to say, intensive use and dependence of Egypt on the Nile water creates significant obstacle for Ethiopia not to use as what it likes.

Hillawi (1998) expressed his fear on the misinterpretations of this rule by describing that it may imply the acceptance of first-come-first-serve system, with the users presumably having been first to utilize the water resources in question. When analyzing this rule as one of the vital component of the UN Convention in relating with the Blue Nile, Calfisch again states as follows:
If it were the only one to apply, it would fully protect the status quo, that is, the existing rights of the lower riparian- first and foremost Egypt and, to a lesser degree, the Sudan- and deny the upper riparian- first and foremost Ethiopia- any possibility of developing and expanding activities. In other words, the economic and social growth of any new comer, in particular upstream countries, would be stunted (Calfisch, 1998).


III) Vital Human Need

In addition, the formation of the Article 10 of the convention, Vital Human Needs, offers Ethiopia the legitimate right to use its water. The convention defines Vital Human Needs as “Special attention is to be paid to providing sufficient water to sustain human life, including both drinking water and water required for production of food in order prevent starvation”. No more robust reason can be found in any where than eradication of drought and famine as vital human needs. Conflicts can be effectively resolved by offering special regards to this article.

From the above realities, it can be easily deduced that these imperatives enable Ethiopia to be beneficial from its resources for sustainable development. However, one of the downside of this convention is that it is deliberately designed to protect the upstream countries since any project has to be approved by all concerned states. I would like to call it as ‘The unjust nepotism part of the UN convention’. In any rational and righteous situation, past history and hostility undoubtedly depicted that Egypt by no means approves any projects in Ethiopia (Elhance, 1999; Daniel, 1999). Ethiopia is one of the countries, which firmly objects this part of the convention (McCaffrey, 1998). This is one of the dreadful bottlenecks specifically for Ethiopia to get necessary assistance from the financial institutes and donors.

1.2 Ethiopian National Water Policy

Lack of clearly stated water policy was one of the limiting factors in underutilization of the water resources. To overcome these problems, in history, Ethiopia has launched its first Water Resources Management Policy in July 2000 (FDRE- MWR[2], 2000). It has been recorded as the verge points to wards the utilization of the resources and the step to confront the complicated and deep-rooted Blue Nile conflict of interest. The policy describes about general water resources and sectoral policies including irrigation, hydropower, and water and sanitation policies. It also consists of crosscutting topics such as debatable trans-boundary aspects, ground water resources, watershed managements, water allocation, water quality, technology and engineering and disaster and emergencies.

The Federal Government of Ethiopian Proclamation No. 197/2000 states, “All water resources of the country are the common property of the Ethiopian people and the state.” (Ibid). The overall goal of this historical policy is to enhance and promote efforts towards efficient, equitable, and optimal utilization of the available water resources and contributes to the country’s socio-economic development in a sustainable basis.
The ultimate choice for the utilization of Ethiopian water resources is not only in the hand of the country, however. It has gained the attention and immediate follow up of Egypt. History clearly reveals that Egypt has been always standing against any development endeavor of Ethiopia since time immemorial. There is a long-live debate and conflict of interest particularly on Blue Nile between the two countries including Sudan. The policy lacks the capacity and intended strategies to deal precisely these Hydro-policies aspects. It is a naïve description than possible planned action.

1.3 Blue Nile Treaties and Conflict of Interest

One of the peculiar features in management and allocation of Nile River is the absence of single term of agreement or treaty that represents all of the ten riparian states (Hillawi, 1998; Hultin, 1995; Girma, 2000). The practical application and acceptability of the existing partially established treaties are not back up by any comprehensive agreement of all riparian countries and hence lacking enforcement power. The governing power and conflict solving capacity is, therefore, uncertain and inefficient. This is not, in fact, different from the global experience as described by Elhance (1999).

The current status of affairs with the use and distribution of Nile water in general and Blue Nile in particular is based on several historical agreements. Some of them were formulated and signature by the colonial administer of the regions. Allan (1999) briefly explained that the water of the Nile Basin was influenced by the United Kingdom, which directly or indirectly controlled the political economy of the basin. The surprising character of these treaties is that almost all of them were intentionally crafted to benefit Egypt and offered unlimited freedom to dominate and be a monopoly superpower in the region. The British is responsible for the ever-arising conflict that would happen since it is the main architects of these treaties (Daniel, 1999).

Discussion on some of the treaties on Blue Nile is sufficient to grasp and understand the conflict of interests on the whole watercourse of the Nile since the lion’s share of the Nile water is from the Blue Nile. The case of Blue Nile is sufficiently enough to explain the cause for the inability of Ethiopia to use other potential water resources. In addition, Ethiopia is the only never colonized country for which none of treaties signed on its foot. For seek of clarity those treaties that are prominent source of conflicts, where Ethiopia is being part or affected by, was dealt briefly in chorological sequences.

I) The 1902 Anglo-Ethiopian Accord

This accord was made between the Ethiopian King and Great Britain (for Sudan). The main framework of this agreement was in Article III where the Emperor Menelik of Ethiopia promised,“ not to construct or allowed to be constructed, any work across the Blue Nile, Lake Tana, or the Sobat (Baro) …” (Berber, 1959; Hillawi, 1998). Since Britain is no more represent Sudan, the agreement was never ratify by Ethiopia Crown Council or British Parliament (Daniel, 1999) and the situation on the use of water have changed dramatically rendering the inapplicability of the article (Girma, 1997).


II) The 1925 Anglo-Italian Exchange of Notes

After the failure of another 1906 Tripartite Treaty (among British, Italy and France), British, however, continued to pursue vigorously its interest in controlling the headwater of the Blue Nile. This was the stealth agreement between Britain and Italy for which Ethiopia had denounced the secret deal and brought the matter before the then League of Nations (Daniel, 1999)[3]. The agreement, inter alia, had thought to recognize the prior hydraulic right of Egypt and the Sudan (Hillawi, 1998).

III) The 1929 Nile Agreement between Egypt and Britain (Sudan)

The exchange of agreement took place between Great Britain and Egypt. The main contested part was “no irrigation or power works or measures are to be constructed or taken on the river Nile and its branch or on the lakes from which it in so far as all these are in the Sudan or in countries under British administration” (Barber, 1959). Pessimistically, the doom feature of this accord was the British acknowledgement of the natural and historic right of Egypt and safeguarding of those rights as a fundamental principle of its policy. As defended by Barber (ibid) these are strictly the opposite of legal rights and fundamental principle of international law. Since Ethiopia had never been a British colony, or any other, this agreement had no legal effect (Daniel, 1999). Girma (1997) stated Ethiopian position, “According to the principle of treaty making, a treaty made between two parties cannot have a binding effect on a third party without res inter alios acta”.

IV) The 1959 Agreement between Sudan and Egypt

Even though the previous treaties had their own potential conflict of interests, the conflict has attained its zenith and intolerable limit at this time when almost fully water recipient Egypt and Sudan agreed a so-called ‘Full Utilization of the Nile Water’. Besides, it is still a puzzle how the agreement between two nearly non-water contributories, among ten countries, can claim full utilization. The agreement was designed to allocate 55.5 billion cubic meters (75%) to Egypt and 18.5 billion cubic meters (25%) to Sudan (Hillawi, 1998; Daniel, 1999; Girma, 1997; Elhance, 1999). Girma (2002) describes this unfair scrap as “Nile starts in Sudan and ends in Egypt”. According to Allan (1999) the core objective of this agreement was Egypt’s wish to control Ethiopian flood by creating storage at its southern border with Sudan.

Egypt found it important to seek guarantee from Sudan and international recognition for financing and technology of the dam by International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) - the World Bank group. The central point is that why do provision had not been taken for upstream riparian states where their land offers this blessing. What did they rely on to do so? What do force upstream countries simply give their blessing while they are severely affected by drought and famine? Why did the World Bank, IBRD, give greater consideration to the right of Egypt? It is still a mystery but indicates its robust affiliation and support.

More strikingly, more than four decades later, Egypt and Sudan have alleged that the agreement still serve as a binding for the Nile Basin River (Hillawi, 1998). It has plainly displayed the historical and profound negligence of Egypt and Sudan towards other upstream countries. Generally speaking, this agreement could be criticized as being too rigid and incomprehensive. Rigid in a scene that, it didn’t take into account the underlining environmental, socio-economic and political changes that the basin countries experienced. (Hultin, 1995). It didn’t give any alternative loophole for further negotiation and then cooperation. This has aggravated the existing conflicts. Besides, all concerned countries didn’t participate or consulted or ratify in the process, hence it lacked comprehensiveness.


1.4 Egypt and Hydro-politics on Blue Nile River

One of the leading experts in the area, Elhance, defines hydro-politics as “a systematic study of the conflict and cooperation between states over water resources that transcend international borders” (Elhance, 1999). It is apparent that states sharing rivers or lakes or even ground waters naturally form highly interdependent unit in many aspects. Hence economic, political, social, cultural and secular dynamics are intimately tied to the hydro-politics. More significantly, in the condition of external influence, unfair allocation, over exploitation by few states, and natural and non natural trend in the increasing scarcity of water have led the hydro-politics of the region more and more sever. Some times, countries could engage in armed conflict to maintain their national interest.

The main player in the hydro-politics of the Nile River in general and the Blue Nile in particular is definitely Egypt. In historical opportunities and under the auspices of strong alliance, Egypt has dominated and led the hydro-politics of this poor region. One can easily confirm this fact by looking its policies and the speech addressed by its leaders. Needless to say, without the water of Nile, Egypt is totally a vast desert land (98% of the total land except small Mediterranean strip and the narrow Nile valley). Its civilization and development depends on the Nile.

As early as the fourth century B. C., Herodotus observed that Egypt was a gift of the Nile (But Nile is not a gift of Egypt) (Daniel, 1999). No country in the world, however, is more dependent on irrigated agriculture than Egypt (Hultin, 1995). In addition, Nile is a source of hydroelectric power, drinking and sanitation water, industrial bases, tourism, and fishing. The ability of Egypt to get the monopoly power over Nile has helped to control the hydro-politics of the region. In like manner, this enables to build up what is need for the development of the country. It has favored to vest power for facilitating and manipulating legal, environmental, social, economics and political concerns in the benefit of itself, some times to Sudan. Diplomatic efficiency, the availability of potential human resources and the attachment with influential countries and donors and their affiliation are some of the inherent strength to exploit the resources than any riparian. Egypt has extra ordinary skill to judge and balance the international politics along its national priority.

For its national priority, it has definitely persuaded opposite political direction with Ethiopia. During the Emperor regime of Haile Selasea I, Ethiopia had close relation with USA. The counterpart, Egypt had hand-glove relation with the former Anti-Imperialism and Anti-Zionist Soviet Union and East Germany. By using its close tie, it was able to construct the gigantic Aswan High Dam. At Ethiopian Socialist era, Egypt converted to the Western bloc, moreover attracted the immediate attention of USA and stands next to Israel, the second economic and military support beneficiary.

In addition, the representatives of Egypt have reflected the hydro-politics and the subsequent conflict of interest in various occasions. Late President Anuar Sadat warned Ethiopia, “Any action that would endanger the waters of the Blue Nile will be faced with firm reaction on the part of Egypt, even if that action should lead to war” (Daniel, 1999). In 1979 just after signing the peace treaty with Israel, he added, “The only matter that could take Egypt to war again is water” (Hultin, 1995).

The former UN Secretary General Mr. Butrous Butrous Ghali is widely known by his repeated anxiety about the conflict on the Nile. At time when he was Egypt’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, he made the following speech, “The national security of Egypt, which is the based on the water of the Nile, is in the hand of other African countries (Ethiopia). The next war in our region will be over the water of the Nile” (Ibid). I am witness that the current president Hussen Moubarak has threatened to bomb Ethiopia if it plans to build any dams on the Blue Nile.

Egypt has a firm conviction that the new instrument should by no way affect the existing ridiculous water agreement (Caflish, 1998). It has continued in the implementation of huge and extensive projects even by diverting the natural flow of the Nile without consulting other rightful riparian countries. For country that has such extremist stand expecting negotiation, cooperation, and equitable utilization in a peaceful manner is reliably absurd. That is why, until now, the hydro-polices of Nile water is a Zero-Sum game win by Egypt. Tony Allan, a leading scholar and scientists on the water issue in general and the Nile in particular, pointing out the injustice in the Egyptian position and calls the plan ‘preposterous, a national fantasy’ (Kinfe, 2000b).

With its firm conviction of the 1959 so called ‘Full Utilization’, Egypt is generally unwilling to have any further negotiation. Moreover, it obsolete fashioned doctrine of ‘primary need, prior user and acquired water user’ is the impediment for any agreements. Frequency of drought, climatic changes and population pressure in Ethiopia lead to enviable demand of Nile water than any time before. Hence, pessimistically, the existing conflict of interests, even war, would continue as far as Egypt’s position is towards only maintaining its unilateral national affairs.

1.5The Position of Ethiopia on Nile issues

Ethiopia has never ever accepted unilateral agreements for their perilous prejudice. According to Hillawi (1998), during 1959 it claimed, “Ethiopia has reserved the right to utilize the water resources of the Nile for the benefit of its people, whatever might be the measure of such waters sought by riparian states”. Irrespective of the type of regime in Addis Ababa, the position of Ethiopia is one and one - to have a win- win solution and legitimate right to use the Nile water for the socio-economic development of the country and the region as a whole. In addition to the historical reference of ‘natural and territorial right’, Ethiopia has to utilize its water to feed the people. No one is requested to offer this legitimate right at all.

Ethiopia has a firm belief of accepting negotiation in good faith and confidence, on the basis of equitable utilization. Through this, the riparian states of the Nile can avoid the danger of engaging in competitive and conflicting use of the water. Ethiopia needs a flexible and comprehensive agreement that takes in to account the socio-economic and natural conditions of the riparian in the shortest possible time. According to Ethiopia, efficient utilization based on research and conserving the environment for sustainable uses should be adopted for mutual benefit of all.

The president of Ethiopian International Institute of Peace and Development (EIIPD), Professor Kinfe Abreha, expresses the Ethiopian status as follows:

In any genuine attempt to tackle the problem of food and energy, Ethiopia has no option but effectively use her Nile waters for consumptive and non-consump­tive purposes. There is no legal or institutional obligation, which de­tracts Ethiopian policy makers as well as planners from fulfilling this duty in the best interest of their people (Kinfe, 2000b).
This is also in line with the UN convention on the equitable and sustainable utilization of the country’s resources with in its territory as an attribute to its sovereignty. Nevertheless, while the right of Ethiopia to utilize its water resources remains valid, its desire to reach an agreement on allocation has persisted for the simple reasons that it is firmly committed to peace and a win-win situation, which can be derived from cooperation (Ibid).
2 Remarks on Developmental Use of Water Recourses

2.1 Political Solution

Any development effort with regard to water in Ethiopia has been seen by Egypt as a treat to its national concern. Elhance (1999) expresses this issue, “As in the case of Egypt, many economic, political and technical impediments stands in the way of Ethiopia being unable to fully exploit these reserves to relieve ongoing and impending water shortages”. Most importantly, the practical application these guiding UN Convention do require cooperation among riparian countries. But in condition where there are no international agreements regarding the use of Nile water for common benefit of all riparian states, achieving cooperation is hardly possible (Hultin, 1995; Girma, 2000).
Making the country beneficiary from the Nile is more of political than economic or social issues. The pinnacle aspect is resolving the hydro-political conflict of interest with Egypt in diplomatic ways through ‘win- win’ strategies. By any means, it is the right time to grasp the nettle. The political priority and efficiency directly leads to financial accessibility in international donors and lending institutions. However, at least for the short-term, the domestic capital to materialize some potential poverty reduction activities should have to be searched by reducing government expenditure from unproductive sectors, for instance, defense.
In addition, the involvement of Egypt in creating dispute, unrest and war should be dealt in a great caution and require strong national commitments. This is expressed in Elhance (1999) word, “Egypt has on occasion been accused of fomenting dissent and helping rebellions in Sudan and Ethiopia”. The government of Ethiopia has to realize the fact that the overt and covert policy of Egypt is to weaken the country to the extent of making incapable of tempering with water of Nile, and as a result to have unrestricted utilization of Nile Water. In its efforts, it has able to prevent loans and grants. As the same time, it cannot politicallyand morally afford to let millions to starve for fear of the cost of conflict on the predicament condition of demographic alarm and catastrophic drought (Kinfe, 2000a).

2.2 Regional Cooperation
In the history of Nile basin hydro-politics, all the ten countries of the Nile have officially launched the institution of the Nile Basin Initiative (NBI) by adopting and signing the minute on 22 February 1999 in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. The head quarter in Entebbe, Uganda, was publicly opened in September 1999. The main objective of NBI is to promote socio-economic cooperation and development through further cooperation, dialogue, exchange and integration of the Nile countries in their quest for development and poverty eradication (taken from NBI web site). The crucial element has been to achieve sustainable socio-economics development through the equitable utilization of, and benefit from, the common Nile basin water resources and to secure development fund for integrated development.
The designed Projects should take into account the interest of all riparian for subsequent financing. Up to now, the World Bank, Canadian International Development Agency (CDIA), United Nations Development Program (UNDP) and other multilateral and bilateral organizations have shown interest. After making the necessary support for Egypt, the World Bank and some donors have latterly deserved the positive confirmation for all riparian countries to extend loan and grant for project planned in the basin.

The scopes of the intended projects in the NBI are more of macro-type that focuses on the utilization of the resource in interstate bases than meeting the dire need of small-scale utilization. This is, in fact, not directly in line with the poverty reduction approach and implementation. Then the contribution of the NBI in poverty reduction would be very minimal. The pace for the execution of these programs is also very slow due to lack of fund and conflict arises due to inherent nature of the basin. Even thought it is at initial stage, there is no promising physical performance that can be cited as the result of the initiative and to envisage for future prospect at least for the short-run.

Moreover, for full and efficient functioning of the NBI, the 1959 agreement should be unanimously abandon once and for all. This is because, it is the area where most of the conflict starts and ends and opposes national sovereignty of riparian. This agreement has brought fire than light to cooperation and a catalyst to the conflicts over the right of Nile water. Therefore, new form of agreement based on the socio-economic development, comparative advantages and political realities, that will be dynamic enough to accommodate changes, need to be adopted. Commitment of every country has offered further ground for the development of mutual trust and confidence.

2.3 Development Aid and Future Direction

About 35% of the developmental aid to Ethiopia has been allocated for food aid and other emergency purposes. This implies pronounced amount of foreign aid has been propelled to save life as consumption in the form of transfer. While the costly and temporary, these efforts have generally perceived as necessary short-term intervention but precluded support for long-term development process. Pessimistically, the kind of funding needed to develop water potentials is simply beyond Ethiopians means. International financial institutions and donors, which have been instrumental in helping Egypt and Sudan to develop millions of hectares, are unwilling to extend a fraction of long-term base assistance to Ethiopia. Allan compared the effort of these institutions to upstream and downstream:

As upstream countries (like Ethiopia) are compelled to borrow money in order to finance hydroelectric, irrigation and sanitation development projects, they are subject to the rules and polices of the lenders, and it doesn’t appear that these lenders necessary adhere to the rule of international law when they are assessing the viability of downstream (Egypt). This raises the issue that developing nations, in order to fund necessary development, must resort to incurring debts to organizations which have predominantly commercial consideration at heart (Allan, 2002).

The leading development financer, the World Bank, is constrained by its own rule of Operational Policies (OP 7.50) and Bank Procedures (BP 7.50) that prevents the funding of water projects (Allan, 2001). Potential donors have to look the economic backwardness and the frequent vulnerability of the people rather than sticking to laws and regulations. In addition, it is unwise that development schemes do not deserve assistance because there is disagreement among the watercourses states or because they are likely to cause harm (Caflish, 1998). Close follow up in line with the prevailing socio-economic conditions in a dynamic manner is expected from these types of institutions.

If the World Bank and other donors have genuinely perceived ‘a world free of poverty’, they have to respond to the immediate needs of Ethiopia in a much responsible and flexible ways. The approaches should focus on dealing and resolving directly on the actual causes of poverty than ‘wandering around the bush’. The prior step should be in supporting the development of water potentials. In so doing, it is necessary to apply different principles and approaches for Ethiopia and Egypt. This is due to the fact that, the latter country is comparatively more develop enough to finance projects itself and has so many disposable potential sources like the Arab World, the USA and Private funds (Allan, 2001). Hence, the World Bank and donors have to see countries, especially Ethiopia and Egypt, in different ‘eye glasses’. Aid should be directed to projects that have comparative advantage to the region as well.

3.4 Cost Effectiveness

One of the formidable reasons restricting water resource development in Ethiopia is the high cost associated with the implementation of projects. But the financial costs and benefits should not be the exclusive yardstick in assessing the feasibility of these projects. Evaluating of such development projects in term of the orthodoxy Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) is neither sound nor morally acceptable. In the current situation of the country, it is indispensable to assess the feasibility in multi-dimensional ways. Hence the suffering and the displacement of millions people should be grasped in Cost Effectiveness Analysis (CEA) than in the conventional profitability analysis. The wider public benefits of disaster mitigation functions should be recognized in assessing the feasibility Hence, more correct economic and social CBA that takes in to account the uses of water resources for saving the life of people is desirable to assess the soundness and relevance of appraisal.

In addition, if investments are directed to agriculture, rural development and other water using sectors that generate direct income to the poor communities, then the implementation of watershed management action plans can genuinely contribute to poverty reduction, pro-poor. Sufficient budgetary needs to be allocated to the water sector without considering its immediate financial profitability. Governmental incentive and tax systems need be reviewed in light of the growing awareness of the linkages between poverty reduction and water resources development. The issue of sustainability has to be dealt in line with providing basic necessity for the current productive forces for the better off of the future generation. In other word, the water resources of the country have to play vital role for the better off of drought struck farmers.

Hence, the economic systems should include sustainable development in their planning phases with respect to the above realms. Moreover, Willingness to Pay depends on the availability of efficient and effective institutions and facilities that enables to transfer the produces of the farmers in to income at reasonable prices and time. If this is so, economics benefits of Ethiopian water resources development is both compromising and sound in terms of poverty reduction and the well-being of the people whatsoever the financial costs be.

3.5 Institutional Settings

One commentator who observes the various negotiation and meeting of the Nile countries remarks that Ethiopian delegation in the meeting varies and reflects different aspect in scramble manners. However, for the Egypt side almost the last thirty and forty years, the same personals have led the delegation and have consistent stand in every aspect. This has been well stated by Allan (2001) as “the options for Ethiopia in the utilization of its water resources are constrained by institutional incapability”.

Therefore, very much responsive and active water resources based institutions should be needed for efficient utilization. In time where, the conflict of interest on Blue Nile reached at its climax, well organized and persistent institution consist of multidisciplinary professionals is deemed indispensable. Supportive institutions facilitating land redistribution, resettlement and tenure security should be part of integrated water resources development of Ethiopia. A proactive public agency is necessary if the country’s water resources are to be utilized effectively and in sustainable way.

At lower level, concerned effort should be made to encourage small-scale and user-based water development schemes. Water resources management for poverty alleviation is highly dependent on the empowerment of communities. Such schemes are less costly, more sustainable, environmentally friendly, and don’t involve human displacement, as oppose to large schemes. Appropriate state institutions at the grass-root levels can make a bigger dent in the transaction costs.

3.6 Technological Options

Agricultural productivity growth and transformation processes have universally involved transformation from traditional resources based agricultural to scientific practices through appropriate technology. It is widely known from the Green Revolution that new productive technologies contained irrigation schemes as integral part. Technological transformation should favor toward attaining comparative advantage by analyzing the prevailing natural resources. Specifically, appropriate technology generation and dissemination have to reflect the available water resources potential. Not only water utilization but also soil and water conservation and environmental sustainability issues should be dealt concurrently.

In Ethiopian situation, labor-intensive technologies rather than massive investment in mechanization have priority in agricultural development of small-scale targeted poverty schemes. Moreover small schemes provide beneficiaries the opportunity to manage themselves. If this is successfully done, the ultimate goal of agricultural development through the small-scale beneficiary based schemes will result food security and then poverty reduction. Agricultural technology using voluntary and participatory involvement of members through cooperatives is also one possible alternative for integrated development of these resources.

3 Conclusions

According to the FAO estimation and prepared master plan, Ethiopia has about 3.5 million hectares of easily irrigable land. (FAO, 1997). Ethiopia has so far been able to develop 2% of hydropower (from 176 billion-kilowatts) and 1 % of irrigation potential from the Nile system. Using the Nile basin, Ethiopia has the potential to extend irrigation for about 2.2 million hectares [the Nile basin (Abbai, Tekezzae and Northen and Baro-Akobbo) accounts about 64 % of these potential]. The basin area is known for repeated famine and drought. According to one commentator, “The root of Ethiopian low utilization of its resource in the Nile is Poverty”.

One of the solutions of poverty reduction in Ethiopia should target embarking the utilization of this untapped resource. Without the necessary component factor of agricultural production, water, the envisage goals would continue to appear on paper, since it neglects the core component towards Blue Nile development. The overwhelming disaster and ever increasing population are the alarm to painstakingly concentrate efforts on the employment of necessary projects by making use of the Nile. The cost of prevailing disaster and future catastrophe would be far precipitous other wise. How?

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[1] The UN convention document treats international rivers and watercourses as synonymous and defines as a system of surface water and ground waters constituting by virtue of their physical relationship a unitary whole.

[2] FDRE-MWR means Federal Decomocratic Republic of Ethiopia Ministry of Water Resources.
[3] Ethiopia became the member of League of Nations in 1923.